Question explored with the scientific record
Conversation so far
- 1 treatment for ocular melanoma eye tumour
- 2 what are the chances of cancer spreading to liver after radioactive seedd sewn onto eye
- 3 will radioactive seed treatment save sight?
- 4 basic advice: eye removal versus radioactive seed?
- 5 Do eye hospitals recommend radioactive seed because they want patients to practise this on?
- 6 What ongoing treatment will be needed after radioctive seed treatment?
- 7 Will I be able to drive again following radioactive seed?
- 8 Have incidences of ocular melanoma increased since 2020
Answered on this page ↓
Have incidences of ocular melanoma increased since 2020
The short version: this retrieval cannot tell you whether ocular melanoma has risen since 2020. It contains no incidence series covering those years.
The closest thing is a 2026 Irish report of six childhood uveal melanoma cases from 2010 to 2024, and its own authors say international data are needed to clarify incidence trends [1]. That is a case series, not a rate. It cannot show a rise or a fall.
The older trend data point the other way. Danish registry data from 1943 to 1982 found the age-standardized incidence stayed flat even as the raw case count grew, because the population was aging [2]. A US SEER analysis from 1973 to 1997 found survival flat at about 80% over 25 years [3]. Neither reaches 2020.
| Source | Years | What it shows |
|---|---|---|
| Ireland, paediatric [1] | 2010–2024 | 6 cases, no trend stated |
| Denmark registry [2] | 1943–1982 | Flat age-standardized rate |
| US SEER survival [3] | 1973–1997 | ~80% 5-year survival, flat |
What would settle your question is a population registry comparing age-adjusted ocular melanoma rates before and after 2020. This search did not surface one. That is a gap in the search, not proof that rates are stable.
My call: the evidence here is not clear on any post-2020 increase, and the pre-2020 trend data that do exist show a stable age-adjusted rate. Confidence: low, because no retrieved record measures the years you asked about.
Sources used 3
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Paediatric uveal melanoma in Ireland 2010 – 2024: incidence, clinical features, management, and outcomes
Paediatric uveal melanoma in Ireland (2010–2024) comprises six cases at a single national centre, treated with enucleation or radiotherapy, with generally favorable outcomes and no metastases during follow-up, underscoring the need for international data to clarify incidence tre…
DOI: 10.1038/s41433-026-04334-2 -
Trends in incidence of ocular malignant melanoma in Denmark 1943–1982
This study analyzes the trends in the incidence of ocular malignant melanoma in Denmark from 1943 to 1982, revealing a stable age-standardized incidence rate despite an increase in the annual number of cases.
DOI: 10.1002/ijc.2910400206 -
Survival rates with uveal melanoma in the United States: 1973–1997
A population-based SEER analysis (1973–1997) found that 5-year relative survival for primary uveal melanoma in the United States remained about 80% over 25 years, with no improvement in survival despite increasing use of globe-conserving therapies and shifts between surgery and …
DOI: 10.1016/s0161-6420(03)00077-0