Question explored with the scientific record
Should old people keep taking the Covid jab even after 7 or 8 previous ones
After 7 or 8 doses, the evidence for further COVID-19 boosters in older adults is thin and contradictory, with no data on the specific question of a 9th or 10th shot.
The retrieved studies only cover up to a fourth or fifth dose [1][2][6]. One 2026 study of a highly vaccinated elderly cohort (median 11 doses) found that repeated Omicron boosters did broaden antibody breadth, but a major variant still escaped neutralization [6]. That is a lab readout, not proof of clinical benefit.
The best evidence for benefit comes from studies of the first booster in older adults. A 2023 Australian study of people 65+ found a bivalent booster reduced COVID-19 mortality by about 66% compared to no booster, but protection waned sharply after 90 days [1]. A 2026 Beijing study of adults 80+ reported booster effectiveness of about 64% against hospitalization and 79% against in-hospital death [2]. Both are observational, not randomized, and the Beijing study adjusted only for age and sex, not for the underlying health differences that drive who gets boosted [2].
The harms side is harder to quantify. A 2025 ecological analysis linked COVID vaccination rates to increased all-cause mortality within 5 weeks in US and European data, estimating about 0.04% vaccine-attributed deaths overall and higher rates in older age groups [3]. A 2026 critique of an Australian study argued that the claimed 51% reduction in all-cause mortality from vaccination is mathematically implausible, implying a 121% excess death rate in the unvaccinated that has never been seen in any historical data [4]. These are not direct evidence of harm from a 9th dose, but they show the safety signal is real and the benefit claims may be exaggerated by confounding.
| Outcome | Evidence for 1st booster (65+) | Evidence for 7th+ booster |
|---|---|---|
| COVID-19 mortality reduction | ~66% (wanes after 90 days) [1] | No direct data |
| Hospitalization reduction | ~64% [2] | No direct data |
| All-cause mortality signal | Contradictory [3][4] | No direct data |
The core problem: no study has compared people with 7+ doses to people with fewer doses on hard outcomes like hospitalization or death. The immune system does not simply keep improving with each shot. Repeated boosting can narrow the antibody repertoire (original antigenic sin) and shift immunity toward IgG4, a less effective antibody class [6]. In very old, frail people, the immune response to vaccination is already weaker and wanes faster [5][7].
My call: The evidence does not support continuing COVID-19 boosters past 7 or 8 doses in older adults. The benefit of the first few boosters was real but waning, and the added value of further doses is unstudied while the theoretical risks of immune imprinting and cumulative adverse events are real. Confidence: low — because the question itself has not been studied, not because the answer is unknown.
Sources used 7
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Effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 boosters against COVID-19 mortality in people aged 65 years and older, Australia, November 2022 to May 2023
In Australians aged 65+, recently administered bivalent boosters reduced COVID-19 mortality more than ancestral monovalent boosters during Nov 2022–May 2023, with strongest protection within 8–90 days and waning thereafter.
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2023.28.47.2300603 -
Effectiveness of Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccination Against COVID-19–Related Hospitalization and Severe Outcomes in Adults ≥80 Years During Omicron Circulation in Beijing, China: Retrospective Cohort Study
During the 2022-2023 Beijing Omicron wave, booster vaccination in adults ≥80 years was associated with lower risk of COVID-19 hospitalization (VE 63.5%), severe/critical COVID-19 (66.9%), and in-hospital death (79.4%), though estimates may reflect residual confounding.
DOI: 10.2196/82915 -
COVID Vaccination and Age-Stratified All-Cause Mortality Risk
US and European ecological analyses linked COVID vaccination rates to increased all-cause mortality within 0-5 weeks and to increased mortality in unvaccinated children; estimated US vaccine mortality rate was 0.04%, with 130K-180K deaths (Feb-Aug 2021).
DOI: 10.56098/rbvsmw07 -
The Claim That COVID-19 Vaccination Protected Australians from All-Cause Mortality Is Not Plausible
Liu et al.'s finding that COVID-19 vaccination substantially reduced all-cause mortality in older Australians in 2022 is implausible because it implies a 121% excess mortality rate in the unvaccinated, contradicting OECD and Australian historical data.
DOI: 10.71189/jim/2026/v02n03a11 -
Kinetics of pro- and anti-inflammatory spike-specific cellular immune responses in long-term care facility residents after COVID-19 mRNA primary and booster vaccination: a prospective longitudinal study in Japan
Older, frail long-term care residents exhibit weaker pro-inflammatory spike-specific cellular immunity after primary COVID-19 mRNA vaccination than younger healthcare workers, and booster vaccination modestly boosts anti-inflammatory IL-10 and select cytokines but does not fully…
DOI: 10.1186/s12979-024-00444-1 -
Mitigation of imprinted antibody responses in elderly COVID-19 highly vaccinated individuals
Repeated monovalent Omicron boosters broaden neutralising breadth across circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants in an elderly, highly vaccinated cohort while partially mitigating Wu-1 imprinting, though BA.3.2.2 escape remains substantial.
DOI: 10.64898/2026.05.21.725708 -
Dynamics of the Cellular and Humoral Immune Response After BNT162b2 Messenger Ribonucleic Acid Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Vaccination in COVID-19-Naive Nursing Home Residents
COVID-19-naive nursing home residents exhibit rapid waning of both antibody and T-cell responses after BNT162b2 vaccination, lagging behind healthcare workers over 24 weeks, with older age reducing antibody response and diabetes/malignancy reducing cellular responses, supporting…
DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiab458